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Red300
6898119.9
2486166.9
1577196.7
Blue284
6304103.6
3005197.4
3230169.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335337200250300350400450300284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.71.0
198.9197.9
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
blue by 0.7
197.40.9
193.1194.0
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
Second
2486
#13
166.90.1
170.1170.0
Auto25.5
Teleop119.5
End23.6
blue by 2.8
3230
#57
169.61.2
172.9171.7
Auto20.2
Teleop129.8
End18.8
Third
6898
#41
119.90.8
118.1118.9
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End10.8
red by 16.4
6304
#59
103.61.4
112.5111.1
Auto18.2
Teleop80.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed