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Red351
4910211.2
3674172.0
7106100.1
Blue192
6833133.0
4924107.5
649164.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3982560100200300500600700351192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#17
211.20.9
218.4217.5
Auto22.0
Teleop160.9
End25.6
red by 46.6
649
#37
164.70.4
160.5160.9
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
Second
3674
#10
172.01.5
164.8166.3
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
red by 39.0
6833
#66
133.01.1
141.4140.3
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End15.0
Third
7106
#64
100.11.6
106.2104.6
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End11.6
blue by 7.4
4924
#67
107.50.8
107.4108.2
Auto17.9
Teleop76.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed