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Red242
1986202.2
64793.2
2486166.9
Blue349
3653150.0
4010131.4
1197171.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36930002006008001,0001,200242349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.20.7
200.2200.9
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 30.7
1197
#29
171.40.4
171.3171.0
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
Second
2486
#13
166.90.3
170.0169.7
Auto25.5
Teleop119.5
End23.6
red by 16.8
3653
#33
150.00.7
146.3147.0
Auto17.9
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Third
647
#65
93.20.1
93.393.4
Auto8.3
Teleop77.3
End8.7
blue by 38.2
4010
#40
131.41.6
126.6128.2
Auto18.4
Teleop102.8
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed