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Red402
3005197.4
4201144.3
6824126.7
Blue195
4635189.4
6999100.7
6429177.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324330200250300350400450500402195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.40.4
194.0194.4
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
red by 8.0
4635
#27
189.40.1
193.9193.8
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
Second
4201
#47
144.30.8
143.0143.8
Auto22.3
Teleop114.0
End7.9
blue by 33.1
6429
#24
177.31.1
182.7181.7
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End8.2
Third
6824
#46
126.70.4
126.8127.3
Auto20.4
Teleop93.6
End9.3
red by 26.0
6999
#63
100.70.4
101.9102.3
Auto14.8
Teleop76.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed