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Red351
1311157.4
846173.0
2659171.6
Blue261
3374147.3
3674172.0
4091139.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3923070100200500600700351261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#5
173.00.2
171.2171.0
Auto24.3
Teleop136.0
End13.4
red by 1.0
3674
#10
172.00.9
166.3167.2
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
Second
2659
#14
171.60.2
171.8171.6
Auto27.7
Teleop123.0
End19.7
red by 24.4
3374
#53
147.30.4
147.0147.3
Auto22.5
Teleop113.7
End10.3
Third
1311
#44
157.40.4
158.7159.0
Auto17.2
Teleop120.0
End19.4
red by 17.7
4091
#54
139.71.2
136.1137.3
Auto17.4
Teleop98.4
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed