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Red321
649164.7
3933143.4
2789120.2
Blue388
6168129.2
3230169.6
1197171.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291355100200400500321388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#37
164.70.0
160.9160.9
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
blue by 6.8
1197
#29
171.40.2
171.0170.8
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
Second
3933
#35
143.40.3
141.4141.7
Auto19.9
Teleop108.2
End17.1
blue by 26.2
3230
#57
169.60.6
170.3169.7
Auto20.2
Teleop129.8
End18.8
Third
2789
#36
120.20.8
116.6117.4
Auto17.3
Teleop91.0
End13.3
blue by 9.0
6168
#55
129.21.5
122.5124.0
Auto20.3
Teleop93.0
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned