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Red422
2682159.6
3653150.0
4256136.6
Blue104
4293138.5
7277117.2
6833133.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672820100200400500600422104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#15
159.60.3
158.6158.3
Auto20.4
Teleop116.4
End23.1
red by 21.1
4293
#60
138.50.5
142.5142.0
Auto17.3
Teleop109.5
End5.4
Second
3653
#33
150.00.7
147.0147.7
Auto17.9
Teleop112.7
End18.7
red by 17.0
6833
#66
133.01.8
139.1137.3
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End15.0
Third
4256
#30
136.61.3
131.7132.9
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
red by 19.4
7277
#50
117.20.9
116.5117.4
Auto18.9
Teleop84.9
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed