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Red334
368177.9
6813118.4
64793.2
Blue331
1577196.7
5515124.2
3598139.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573600100200300400500334331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#19
177.90.9
170.4171.3
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
blue by 18.8
196.70.3
196.9196.6
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
6813
#31
118.40.1
117.8117.8
Auto19.6
Teleop88.6
End10.4
blue by 20.6
3598
#42
139.00.6
139.4138.8
Auto21.4
Teleop107.9
End8.6
Third
647
#65
93.20.4
93.492.9
Auto8.3
Teleop77.3
End8.7
blue by 31.1
5515
#68
124.20.5
124.2123.7
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned