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Red235
4635189.4
4010131.4
4293138.5
Blue417
5190213.1
1574218.0
649164.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2234560100300400500600235417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#27
189.40.9
193.8192.9
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
blue by 28.6
218.00.7
218.7218.0
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
Second
4293
#60
138.51.8
142.0140.2
Auto17.3
Teleop109.5
End5.4
blue by 74.6
5190
#16
213.10.0
212.9212.9
Auto25.2
Teleop161.1
End26.3
Third
4010
#40
131.41.4
128.2129.6
Auto18.4
Teleop102.8
End11.5
blue by 33.2
649
#37
164.70.3
160.9161.2
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed