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Red313
3933143.4
1939154.6
4256136.6
Blue310
2486166.9
5515124.2
1311157.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344307100200400500600700313310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#12
154.60.3
153.5153.8
Auto16.8
Teleop118.3
End19.5
blue by 12.3
2486
#13
166.91.3
168.9167.6
Auto25.5
Teleop119.5
End23.6
Second
3933
#35
143.40.6
141.7142.3
Auto19.9
Teleop108.2
End17.1
blue by 14.0
1311
#44
157.41.1
159.1158.0
Auto17.2
Teleop120.0
End19.4
Third
4256
#30
136.61.8
132.9134.7
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
red by 12.3
5515
#68
124.20.2
123.7123.8
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed