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Red347
701137.2
5145137.4
368177.9
Blue399
6831164.4
4451180.7
2682159.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2834000100200500347399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#19
177.91.3
171.3172.7
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
blue by 2.7
4451
#11
180.71.5
175.1176.6
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
Second
5145
#28
137.40.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.1
Teleop107.3
End16.0
blue by 27.0
6831
#25
164.40.6
165.1164.6
Auto19.6
Teleop117.6
End27.8
Third
701
#61
137.22.2
140.6138.5
Auto24.5
Teleop105.5
End7.2
blue by 22.4
2682
#15
159.60.6
158.3158.9
Auto20.4
Teleop116.4
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned