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Red427
1684185.9
9996131.5
1250141.2
Blue225
5424151.2
4819142.3
5224147.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35130102006008001,0001,200427225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#15
185.90.9
189.1188.3
Auto24.7
Teleop136.5
End23.2
red by 34.6
5424
#22
151.20.5
152.3151.8
Auto18.1
Teleop113.7
End16.8
Second
1250
#25
141.20.5
142.8142.3
Auto20.3
Teleop106.5
End13.5
blue by 6.0
5224
#31
147.20.6
148.4147.8
Auto22.1
Teleop112.6
End11.6
Third
131.51.0
125.5126.4
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
blue by 10.8
142.30.1
142.2142.3
Auto16.7
Teleop108.5
End16.3