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Red362
1684185.9
9996131.5
1250141.2
Blue300
5509162.9
4362176.2
703149.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033550100200400500600700362300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#15
185.90.6
187.6187.0
Auto24.7
Teleop136.5
End23.2
red by 9.7
176.20.1
176.4176.3
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
Second
1250
#25
141.20.3
141.9141.6
Auto20.3
Teleop106.5
End13.5
blue by 21.7
5509
#18
162.90.3
162.4162.7
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End24.1
Third
131.51.0
127.4128.4
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
blue by 17.9
703
#10
149.40.1
149.2149.3
Auto19.5
Teleop118.2
End11.5