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Red172
5216164.6
5712161.6
6861138.6
Blue353
5509162.9
4362176.2
703149.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173550100200400500600172353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#13
164.60.2
164.4164.6
Auto17.5
Teleop126.0
End20.2
blue by 11.6
176.20.2
176.8176.6
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
Second
161.60.1
161.5161.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.1
End21.6
blue by 1.4
5509
#18
162.90.2
161.9162.2
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End24.1
Third
6861
#11
138.60.0
138.6138.6
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End18.6
blue by 10.7
703
#10
149.40.0
149.2149.2
Auto19.5
Teleop118.2
End11.5