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Red327
3536178.7
1506179.0
5234158.5
Blue409
3641174.6
6193167.3
5229128.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782870100200500600700800327409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.00.2
178.7178.8
Auto22.9
Teleop138.7
End18.2
red by 4.4
3641
#21
174.60.3
175.1174.8
Auto20.6
Teleop140.9
End13.6
Second
3536
#14
178.70.2
179.1178.9
Auto22.0
Teleop133.6
End22.4
red by 11.4
167.30.5
164.9165.4
Auto18.7
Teleop129.1
End21.3
Third
5234
#24
158.50.5
159.3158.9
Auto23.8
Teleop118.3
End14.4
red by 30.0
5229
#32
128.40.2
127.2127.4
Auto15.9
Teleop93.7
End20.1