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Red293
5216164.6
5712161.6
6631104.0
Blue350
5509162.9
4362176.2
703149.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613710100200300500600293350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#13
164.60.0
164.6164.6
Auto17.5
Teleop126.0
End20.2
blue by 11.6
176.20.2
176.6176.4
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
Second
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.1
End21.6
blue by 1.4
5509
#18
162.90.2
162.2162.4
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End24.1
Third
6631
#20
104.00.1
104.1104.0
Auto16.4
Teleop77.7
End10.4
blue by 45.3
703
#10
149.40.0
149.2149.2
Auto19.5
Teleop118.2
End11.5