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Red200
3536178.7
1506179.0
5234158.5
Blue454
3641174.6
6193167.3
5229128.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752960100200500600700800200454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.00.2
178.8179.0
Auto22.9
Teleop138.7
End18.2
red by 4.4
3641
#21
174.60.2
174.8174.6
Auto20.6
Teleop140.9
End13.6
Second
3536
#14
178.70.2
178.9178.7
Auto22.0
Teleop133.6
End22.4
red by 11.4
167.30.6
165.4166.0
Auto18.7
Teleop129.1
End21.3
Third
5234
#24
158.50.4
158.9158.5
Auto23.8
Teleop118.3
End14.4
red by 30.0
5229
#32
128.40.2
127.4127.7
Auto15.9
Teleop93.7
End20.1