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Red395
3536178.7
1506179.0
5234158.5
Blue306
5603177.6
3770170.3
5193167.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347361200250300400450395306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.00.2
178.1178.3
Auto22.9
Teleop138.7
End18.2
red by 1.5
5603
#12
177.60.2
176.9177.1
Auto21.6
Teleop131.8
End24.1
Second
3536
#14
178.70.3
179.8179.5
Auto22.0
Teleop133.6
End22.4
red by 8.4
170.30.1
170.0170.1
Auto20.0
Teleop128.4
End20.6
Third
5234
#24
158.50.6
161.0160.4
Auto23.8
Teleop118.3
End14.4
blue by 9.3
5193
#23
167.80.6
166.2166.7
Auto16.4
Teleop121.4
End29.1