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Red366
4362176.2
6861138.6
5234158.5
Blue240
5538114.8
703149.4
5216164.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34729105001,0001,500366240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.20.6
177.0176.4
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
red by 11.6
5216
#13
164.61.0
162.6163.7
Auto17.5
Teleop126.0
End20.2
Second
5234
#24
158.51.3
163.6162.3
Auto23.8
Teleop118.3
End14.4
red by 9.1
703
#10
149.40.2
149.4149.6
Auto19.5
Teleop118.2
End11.5
Third
6861
#11
138.61.1
140.4139.3
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End18.6
red by 23.9
5538
#28
114.81.1
117.8116.7
Auto17.1
Teleop87.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed