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Red372
3536178.7
3641174.6
6631104.0
Blue196
83095.9
1250141.2
1684185.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402620100200300400500372196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#14
178.72.7
185.3182.5
Auto22.0
Teleop133.6
End22.4
blue by 7.2
1684
#15
185.90.4
192.1191.6
Auto24.7
Teleop136.5
End23.2
Second
3641
#21
174.60.9
176.7175.8
Auto20.6
Teleop140.9
End13.6
red by 33.4
1250
#25
141.20.2
146.1145.9
Auto20.3
Teleop106.5
End13.5
Third
6631
#20
104.00.3
103.4103.1
Auto16.4
Teleop77.7
End10.4
red by 8.2
830
#29
95.92.7
104.2101.5
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End-3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed