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Red164
5424151.2
2832146.3
6071116.2
Blue337
5203107.9
5712161.6
5509162.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319321200250300350400450164337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#22
151.20.8
152.2153.0
Auto18.1
Teleop113.7
End16.8
blue by 11.7
5509
#18
162.91.1
164.1163.0
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End24.1
Second
2832
#16
146.32.7
154.3151.6
Auto19.1
Teleop107.1
End17.0
blue by 15.2
161.60.7
162.8162.0
Auto21.3
Teleop117.1
End21.6
Third
6071
#17
116.20.3
117.3117.6
Auto14.8
Teleop85.0
End16.6
red by 8.3
5203
#27
107.90.3
108.2108.5
Auto14.9
Teleop85.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed