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Red289
439093.5
6193167.3
2619131.2
Blue258
5166103.0
3538207.3
4819142.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193900100300500600289258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.30.7
164.6163.9
Auto18.7
Teleop129.1
End21.3
blue by 39.9
207.30.8
206.1206.9
Auto21.2
Teleop163.9
End23.0
Second
131.20.7
128.2129.0
Auto18.4
Teleop100.4
End15.3
blue by 11.1
142.30.2
142.5142.7
Auto16.7
Teleop108.5
End16.3
Third
4390
#19
93.51.0
94.293.2
Auto15.2
Teleop69.9
End10.2
blue by 9.6
5166
#30
103.00.8
105.8105.0
Auto15.3
Teleop75.5
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed