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Red132
5224147.2
6073112.1
5229128.4
Blue427
9996131.5
5193167.8
1506179.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241409100200300500600700800132427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5224
#31
147.21.4
152.9151.6
Auto22.1
Teleop112.6
End11.6
blue by 31.8
179.00.3
177.5177.2
Auto22.9
Teleop138.7
End18.2
Second
5229
#32
128.40.2
127.9128.1
Auto15.9
Teleop93.7
End20.1
blue by 39.3
5193
#23
167.80.9
166.5165.6
Auto16.4
Teleop121.4
End29.1
Third
6073
#26
112.10.3
113.3113.0
Auto12.5
Teleop78.9
End22.0
blue by 19.4
131.52.7
117.6120.4
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed