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Red171
1250141.2
5203107.9
3770170.3
Blue368
5193167.8
6073112.1
439093.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642470100200300400500600171368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.30.1
171.1171.2
Auto20.0
Teleop128.4
End20.6
red by 2.5
5193
#23
167.80.2
165.6165.3
Auto16.4
Teleop121.4
End29.1
Second
1250
#25
141.21.0
145.9144.9
Auto20.3
Teleop106.5
End13.5
red by 29.1
6073
#26
112.11.0
113.0112.0
Auto12.5
Teleop78.9
End22.0
Third
5203
#27
107.90.3
108.5108.8
Auto14.9
Teleop85.3
End3.9
red by 14.5
4390
#19
93.50.4
93.292.9
Auto15.2
Teleop69.9
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed