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Red249
6861138.6
1250141.2
1506179.0
Blue446
5712161.6
5216164.6
3538207.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2664090100200300500600700249446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.00.6
177.5178.1
Auto22.9
Teleop138.7
End18.2
blue by 28.2
207.30.1
206.8206.9
Auto21.2
Teleop163.9
End23.0
Second
1250
#25
141.22.1
144.9142.8
Auto20.3
Teleop106.5
End13.5
blue by 23.4
5216
#13
164.60.2
164.2164.4
Auto17.5
Teleop126.0
End20.2
Third
6861
#11
138.60.1
138.8138.6
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End18.6
blue by 22.9
161.60.1
161.6161.5
Auto21.3
Teleop117.1
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed