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Red258
2619131.2
5229128.4
83095.9
Blue168
5203107.9
5234158.5
5424151.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213620100300400500258168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.20.6
130.0130.6
Auto18.4
Teleop100.4
End15.3
blue by 27.3
5234
#24
158.50.7
161.6161.0
Auto23.8
Teleop118.3
End14.4
Second
5229
#32
128.40.4
127.5127.1
Auto15.9
Teleop93.7
End20.1
blue by 22.8
5424
#22
151.20.3
152.6152.3
Auto18.1
Teleop113.7
End16.8
Third
830
#29
95.92.6
98.595.9
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End-3.4
blue by 12.1
5203
#27
107.90.9
108.8107.9
Auto14.9
Teleop85.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed