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Final 12018 Shenzhen Regional
Red450
5453160.8
5883158.5
5849118.3
Blue237
5522141.9
5449150.8
6941113.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353274100200300400500600450237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#2
160.80.7
159.3→160.1
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
red by 10.0
5449
#3
150.80.4
150.0→150.4
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
Second
5883
#1
158.50.6
157.2→157.8
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
red by 16.5
5522
#5
141.90.6
140.8→141.4
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
Third
5849
#20
118.30.3
117.6→117.9
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
red by 4.9
6941
#13
113.30.1
113.6→113.5
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0