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Red406
5453160.8
5883158.5
5849118.3
Blue335
5522141.9
5449150.8
6941113.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358271100200300400500600406335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.80.7
160.1160.8
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
red by 10.0
150.80.4
150.4150.8
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
Second
158.50.6
157.8158.5
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
red by 16.5
141.90.5
141.4141.9
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
Third
5849
#20
118.30.4
117.9118.3
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
red by 4.9
6941
#13
113.30.1
113.5113.3
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0