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Qual 12018 Shenzhen Regional
Red296
5831126.9
6706133.5
544587.7
Blue270
6952114.7
7095109.8
5839119.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266274200220240300320340296270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#6
133.515.8
76.7→92.4
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
red by 13.9
5839
#28
119.614.6
87.4→102.0
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9
Second
5831
#4
126.917.2
63.7→80.9
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
red by 12.2
6952
#21
114.752.1
129.8→77.7
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
Third
5445
#29
87.717.5
61.2→78.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 22.1
7095
#32
109.832.1
109.8→77.7
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed