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Red182
630496.2
7149118.4
5453160.8
Blue170
694093.2
7047109.2
1797119.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932470100200400500600182170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.815.9
75.791.5
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
red by 41.4
1797
#10
119.416.7
68.485.1
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
Second
7149
#17
118.440.6
118.477.7
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
red by 9.1
7047
#16
109.246.1
123.877.7
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8
Third
6304
#25
96.214.6
86.8101.5
Auto15.3
Teleop77.7
End4.2
red by 3.0
6940
#34
93.212.1
89.977.7
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed