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Qual 122018 Shenzhen Regional
Red185
7009100.1
723892.9
5839119.6
Blue282
1884140.3
6393107.3
6948104.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271262100200300400500185282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5839
#28
119.66.2
111.2→117.4
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9
blue by 20.7
1884
#7
140.311.9
94.4→106.3
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
Second
7009
#35
100.112.4
77.7→90.1
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End10.8
blue by 7.2
6393
#11
107.36.3
84.4→90.8
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
Third
7238
#30
92.98.3
77.7→86.1
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 11.2
6948
#31
104.011.0
77.7→88.8
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed