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Qual 132018 Shenzhen Regional
Red184
544587.7
5516121.3
7095109.8
Blue343
6941113.3
5449150.8
5831126.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2332810100200400500600184343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5516
#19
121.39.3
92.9→102.2
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
blue by 29.5
5449
#3
150.811.2
98.9→110.1
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
Second
7095
#32
109.86.8
89.0→95.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
blue by 17.1
5831
#4
126.97.0
91.7→98.6
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
Third
5445
#29Sur
87.73.7
89.7→93.4
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 25.6
6941
#13
113.35.4
88.8→94.1
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed