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Red169
6706133.5
7149118.4
694093.2
Blue203
630496.2
638388.0
1884140.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263260100150200300350400450169203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.59.6
102.2111.9
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
blue by 6.8
140.38.7
106.3114.9
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
Second
7149
#17
118.46.3
87.994.2
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
red by 22.2
6304
#25
96.21.7
109.6111.3
Auto15.3
Teleop77.7
End4.2
Third
6940
#34
93.26.9
88.295.1
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
red by 5.2
6383
#26
88.05.1
87.892.9
Auto12.9
Teleop74.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed