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Red174
6402120.4
5849118.3
7080117.9
Blue330
5522141.9
7047109.2
6946106.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233070100400500600174330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6402
#12
120.48.6
84.192.7
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
blue by 21.6
141.912.0
103.7115.7
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
Second
5849
#20
118.35.0
88.293.2
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
red by 9.0
7047
#16
109.28.5
88.296.7
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8
Third
7080
#24
117.97.8
90.698.4
Auto12.5
Teleop92.5
End13.9
red by 11.9
6946
#22
106.08.2
90.198.3
Auto15.2
Teleop86.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed