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Red284
6356109.0
1797119.4
5883158.5
Blue149
6948104.0
5823137.8
700093.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251284100150200350400450284149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.58.5
95.8104.3
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
red by 20.7
137.89.1
112.3121.4
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
Second
1797
#10
119.46.2
94.9101.2
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
red by 15.4
6948
#31
104.08.0
88.896.8
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
Third
6356
#15
109.07.4
83.691.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
red by 16.0
7000
#33
93.16.2
87.593.7
Auto14.2
Teleop76.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed