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Qual 182018 Shenzhen Regional
Red211
5522141.9
6766112.5
7009100.1
Blue287
6386142.5
5831126.9
7149118.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022260100400500600700211287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5522
#5
141.98.9
115.7→124.5
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
blue by 0.5
6386
#8
142.56.2
86.4→92.7
Auto14.4
Teleop112.1
End18.7
Second
6766
#14
112.57.4
97.6→105.0
Auto16.1
Teleop93.3
End1.9
blue by 14.4
5831
#4
126.97.8
98.6→106.4
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
Third
7009
#35
100.17.7
90.1→97.8
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End10.8
blue by 18.3
7149
#17
118.43.0
94.2→97.2
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed