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Qual 192018 Shenzhen Regional
Red303
7006134.0
6402120.4
723892.9
Blue189
1797119.4
6948104.0
7095109.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2502660100200300400500303189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7006
#23
134.05.0
101.5→106.4
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End15.3
red by 14.6
1797
#10
119.44.9
101.2→106.1
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
Second
6402
#12
120.45.1
92.7→97.9
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
red by 10.5
7095
#32
109.84.6
95.8→100.4
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
Third
7238
#30
92.94.5
91.1→95.6
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 11.2
6948
#31
104.03.0
96.8→99.8
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed