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Qual 202018 Shenzhen Regional
Red292
1884140.3
7080117.9
6706133.5
Blue198
5823137.8
544587.7
6356109.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002340100200400500600292198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
#7
140.35.0
114.9→119.9
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
red by 2.5
5823
#9
137.83.7
121.4→125.1
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
Second
6706
#6
133.55.2
111.9→117.1
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
red by 24.4
6356
#15
109.05.7
91.0→96.7
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
Third
7080
#24
117.94.6
98.4→103.0
Auto12.5
Teleop92.5
End13.9
red by 30.2
5445
#29
87.72.6
93.4→96.0
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed