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Red179
6801121.3
694093.2
6766112.5
Blue250
5453160.8
6946106.0
630496.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2182990100400500600179250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6801
#18
121.34.3
99.2103.5
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End7.2
blue by 39.5
160.87.4
109.5116.9
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
Second
6766
#14
112.52.7
105.0107.8
Auto16.1
Teleop93.3
End1.9
red by 6.5
6946
#22
106.06.2
98.3104.5
Auto15.2
Teleop86.0
End3.2
Third
6940
#34
93.23.4
95.198.5
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
blue by 3.0
6304
#25
96.20.4
111.3111.6
Auto15.3
Teleop77.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed