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Red113
7184111.7
7047109.2
6941113.3
Blue348
5449150.8
6386142.5
6393107.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292930100400500600700113348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#13
113.36.7
94.1100.8
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
blue by 37.5
150.810.6
110.1120.7
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
Second
7184
#27
111.72.2
96.298.3
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
blue by 30.8
142.56.1
92.798.7
Auto14.4
Teleop112.1
End18.7
Third
7047
#16
109.26.4
96.7103.1
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8
red by 2.0
6393
#11
107.34.9
90.895.7
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed