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Red278
7095109.8
5849118.3
7184111.7
Blue316
6393107.3
7006134.0
6706133.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203240100400500600278316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5849
#20
118.35.1
100.3105.4
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
blue by 15.8
7006
#23
134.05.0
111.2116.1
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End15.3
Second
7184
#27
111.70.5
98.699.1
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
blue by 21.8
133.54.0
120.0124.0
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
Third
7095
#32
109.80.2
103.1102.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
red by 2.5
6393
#11
107.31.3
101.0102.2
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed