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Red265
5883158.5
6941113.3
694093.2
Blue254
5823137.8
5522141.9
1797119.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343220100200400500265254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.57.9
118.7126.7
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
red by 16.5
141.91.1
128.1127.0
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
Second
6941
#13
113.33.9
104.0107.9
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
blue by 24.5
137.84.3
127.7131.9
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
Third
6940
#34
93.20.9
100.599.6
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
blue by 26.3
1797
#10
119.45.5
108.8114.3
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed