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Qual 382018 Shenzhen Regional
Red351
6706133.5
7184111.7
5522141.9
Blue117
700093.1
5849118.3
5839119.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304253100200400500600351117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5522
#5
141.90.6
127.0→126.4
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
red by 22.3
5839
#28
119.60.4
121.0→121.3
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9
Second
6706
#6
133.54.0
124.0→127.9
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
red by 15.2
5849
#20
118.35.0
105.4→110.4
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
Third
7184
#27
111.71.8
99.1→100.9
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
red by 18.6
7000
#33
93.10.2
95.2→95.4
Auto14.2
Teleop76.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed