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Qual 392018 Shenzhen Regional
Red342
5516121.3
5883158.5
6402120.4
Blue136
723892.9
7080117.9
7149118.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172210100400500600342136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5883
#1
158.56.0
126.7→132.7
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
red by 40.1
7149
#17
118.43.4
104.4→107.8
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
Second
5516
#19
121.31.7
117.4→119.1
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
red by 3.4
7080
#24
117.92.9
109.5→112.5
Auto12.5
Teleop92.5
End13.9
Third
6402
#12
120.42.7
105.0→107.8
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
red by 27.5
7238
#30
92.90.7
100.7→100.1
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed