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Red214
544587.7
6948104.0
5453160.8
Blue230
6766112.5
7095109.8
1884140.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278267100200400500214230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.88.0
126.7134.7
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
red by 20.5
140.33.6
126.4130.0
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
Second
6948
#31
104.00.4
104.4104.0
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
blue by 8.5
6766
#14
112.50.3
109.3109.0
Auto16.1
Teleop93.3
End1.9
Third
5445
#29
87.71.0
98.197.1
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 22.1
7095
#32
109.81.4
102.8104.3
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed