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Qual 412018 Shenzhen Regional
Red199
638388.0
6946106.0
5449150.8
Blue190
694093.2
6386142.5
5516121.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270255150200300350400199190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#3
150.84.3
138.0→142.3
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
red by 8.3
6386
#8
142.58.1
111.3→119.4
Auto14.4
Teleop112.1
End18.7
Second
6946
#22
106.03.2
110.9→114.2
Auto15.2
Teleop86.0
End3.2
blue by 15.3
5516
#19
121.31.4
119.1→120.5
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Third
6383
#26
88.00.5
95.9→95.4
Auto12.9
Teleop74.8
End3.1
blue by 5.2
6940
#34
93.20.1
99.6→99.5
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed