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Qual 472018 Shenzhen Regional
Red220
630496.2
6952114.7
6386142.5
Blue414
5831126.9
5883158.5
1884140.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123280100300400500600220414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6386
#8
142.55.3
123.9→129.2
Auto14.4
Teleop112.1
End18.7
blue by 16.0
5883
#1
158.54.2
132.7→136.9
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
Second
6952
#21
114.72.4
115.3→113.0
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
blue by 25.6
1884
#7
140.31.7
131.6→133.3
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
Third
6304
#25
96.21.5
104.7→103.2
Auto15.3
Teleop77.7
End4.2
blue by 30.7
5831
#4
126.90.5
115.9→116.4
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed