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Red320
5823137.8
7095109.8
7006134.0
Blue394
5522141.9
7149118.4
7184111.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289288200250300350400320394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.81.1
134.7133.7
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
blue by 4.1
141.90.7
127.7128.5
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
Second
7006
#23
134.02.8
124.0126.8
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End15.3
red by 15.7
7149
#17
118.41.4
108.8110.2
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
Third
7095
#32
109.81.1
104.4105.6
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
blue by 1.9
7184
#27
111.71.3
103.6104.9
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed