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Red181
1797119.4
723892.9
5516121.3
Blue344
5453160.8
6766112.5
5849118.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292850100200400500181344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5516
#19
121.30.4
120.5120.9
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
blue by 39.5
160.83.5
138.4141.9
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
Second
1797
#10
119.40.4
119.8120.2
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
red by 1.2
5849
#20
118.30.2
111.5111.3
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
Third
7238
#30
92.90.7
98.698.0
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 19.6
6766
#14
112.50.3
108.1107.9
Auto16.1
Teleop93.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed