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Red116
6356109.0
5839119.6
694093.2
Blue315
6402120.4
6941113.3
6952114.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292830100200400500116315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5839
#28
119.61.2
119.7120.9
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9
blue by 0.8
6402
#12
120.41.2
109.8111.0
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
Second
6356
#15
109.00.6
108.6108.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
blue by 5.6
6952
#21
114.71.0
113.0112.0
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
Third
6940
#34
93.22.1
98.996.8
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
blue by 20.2
6941
#13
113.31.8
112.2114.1
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed